Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(525 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,204.8}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,204.8\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $103$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(18.7 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.6}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.0)}}\) (asimptote \(103.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $31$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $42,939$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(3.1 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{43,629.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 64.3)}}\) (asimptote \(43,629.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,639$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(524 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,523.9}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.8)}}\) (asimptote \(4,523.9\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $38,300$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,522$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(2.47 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,178.9}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(8,178.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $238$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(64 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{231.8}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.2)}}\) (asimptote \(231.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $146$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,941$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(1.02 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,912.6}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.1)}}\) (asimptote \(6,912.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $322$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(55.4 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{316.8}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.2)}}\) (asimptote \(316.8\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $819$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,075$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(2.35 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(35.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,769.2}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 40.9)}}\) (asimptote \(11,769.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $586$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(136 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{567.0}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 32.3)}}\) (asimptote \(567.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $636$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,806$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(620 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,803.0}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,803.0\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(4.04 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,907$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(1.08 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57,004.7}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 41.2)}}\) (asimptote \(57,004.7\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,566$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(1.74 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,240.5}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9,240.5\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,229$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $284,734$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(3.05 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{282,944.6}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 52.0)}}\) (asimptote \(282,944.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $40,344$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(5.57 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,279.1}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 43.0)}}\) (asimptote \(38,279.1\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $243,162$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $234,531$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(4.95 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{228,243.5}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.4)}}\) (asimptote \(228,243.5\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,774$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(6.21 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,677.8}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.5)}}\) (asimptote \(32,677.8\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $36,976$ on 2020-06-05
